Could Rate Cuts Spark Another Rise in House Prices?

Are you thinking of delaying your home purchase until interest rates fall? You may want to rethink that decision once you consider how property prices could respond. If you're already prepared for a home loan, it might make sense to act sooner rather than later.

In September, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained the official cash rate, but several major banks, including Westpac and NAB, anticipate a rate cut early next year. The Commonwealth Bank even forecasts a reduction as soon as Christmas.

While lower interest rates would benefit many struggling homeowners, one critical factor to keep in mind is how house prices may react to these cuts. Here’s what experts are predicting.

How Rate Cuts Could Impact House Prices

Despite rising interest rates since mid-2022, property values have climbed steadily. For instance, the national median value has increased from $752,507 in June 2022 to $807,110 today.

Experts believe that if rates drop, property prices may continue to rise. Ray White Economics predicts that just one rate cut could result in a 0.6% increase in property values, which translates to an additional $5,000 on the average home.

Some forecasts, such as those from SQM Research, suggest multiple cuts could trigger a significant rebound in markets that have recently softened, like Sydney and Melbourne.

What Could Happen in Major Cities

The effect of rate cuts is expected to vary depending on the location. Here's a forecast for the potential price increases in some capital cities after one rate reduction:

  • Sydney: 1.4% increase, adding $15,300 to the median value.
  • Melbourne: 1.0% rise, adding $8,000.
  • Brisbane: 0.4% increase, adding $3,400.
  • Adelaide: 0.3% rise, adding $2,300.
  • Canberra: 0.5% increase, adding just over $4,000.
  • Perth and Darwin: No significant changes anticipated.


It’s important to note these numbers reflect past market reactions, and future outcomes could differ, particularly in regions like Perth, which is currently experiencing strong market conditions.

Should You Buy Now?

It might seem logical to wait for rate cuts before purchasing a home, but this strategy could backfire. Lower rates often lead to higher demand, which pushes up prices and intensifies competition among buyers.

That’s why it's often wise to move forward when you're financially ready. The current spring market offers an additional advantage with increased housing stock, the highest we’ve seen at this time of year since 2021, according to CoreLogic.

If you're looking to purchase a property in Queensland—whether in Townsville, Brisbane, Gold Coast, or Sunshine Coast—we're here to assist you. Work with the best mortgage broker in Townsville, Brisbane, Gold Coast, Sunshine Coast in Queensland, Australia to assess your borrowing capacity and secure the most suitable home loan. Whether you’re a first-time buyer or considering refinancing, having expert advice from the best mortgage broker can make a huge difference in navigating the market smoothly.

Reach out today, and let us help you take the next step toward your new home.

To learn more, contact Premium Finance Group Australia at (07) 4720 8888 or email us at finance@pfga.com.au.




Disclaimer: The content of this article is general and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced, or republished without prior written consent.

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